Alexey Makhno vs Kuat Khamitov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-17-0Record28-8-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
172 lbsWeight170 lbs
Evolve Gym· 1543 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAlash Pride· 1655 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Kuat Khamitov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Alexey Makhno carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1557
If they lose-8→ 1533
If they win+8→ 1685
If they lose-16→ 1661
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexey MakhnoKuat Khamitov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Kuat Khamitov64%
Alexey Makhno 36%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Kuat Khamitov a 64% favorite over Alexey Makhno in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Kuat Khamitov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1677 to 1541, a 136-point edge.
Alexey Makhno enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Kuat Khamitov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Alexey Makhno finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Kuat Khamitov 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.