Alexey Makhno vs Steven Hill
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-17-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'0"
TBDReach73"
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Evolve Gym· 1543 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamNovo BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1553
If they lose-12→ 1529
If they win+16→ 1559
If they lose-16→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexey MakhnoSteven Hill
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexey Makhno54%
Steven Hill 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexey Makhno a 54% favorite over Steven Hill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Steven Hill's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1541 vs 1543), separated by just 2 points.
Alexey Makhno enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Steven Hill enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexey Makhno finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Steven Hill 86%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.