Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexey Polpudnikov vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

36-13-1Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height5'11"
-Reach72"
171 lbsWeight171 lbs
MFP TeamTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts· 1677 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexey PolpudnikovNow 1680
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668
Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniNow 1682
If they win+16→ 1698
If they lose-16→ 1666

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1548 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.77
Not available
Strike accuracy
62%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
Not available
Strike defense
53%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.79
Not available
Takedown accuracy
30%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.86

Trajectory

Alexey PolpudnikovJean-Paul Lebosnoyani
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

20 (56%)
KO/TKO
3 (27%)
9 (25%)
Submission
5 (45%)
7 (19%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexey Polpudnikov62%
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexey Polpudnikov a 62% favorite over Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1682), separated by just 2 points.

Alexey Polpudnikov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Alexey Polpudnikov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.