Alexey Polpudnikov vs Santiago Ponzinibbio
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
37-13-1Record30-10-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'0"
-Reach73″
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
MFP TeamTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexey PolpudnikovSantiago Ponzinibbio
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Santiago Ponzinibbio56%
Alexey Polpudnikov 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Ponzinibbio a 56% favorite over Alexey Polpudnikov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexey Polpudnikov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1698), separated by just 3 points.
Santiago Ponzinibbio enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Alexey Polpudnikov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Ponzinibbio 77%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.