Alexey Polpudnikov vs Ty Miller
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
36-13-1Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'2"
-Reach77"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1692
If they lose-12→ 1668
If they win+24→ 1706
If they lose-24→ 1658
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexey PolpudnikovTy Miller
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexey Polpudnikov58%
Ty Miller 42%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexey Polpudnikov a 58% favorite over Ty Miller in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ty Miller's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1682), separated by just 2 points.
Alexey Polpudnikov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ty Miller enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Alexey Polpudnikov finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Ty Miller 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.