Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexey Shurkevich vs Floyd Sword

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record12-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight TeamTeamTeam Four Corners

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexey ShurkevichNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Floyd SwordNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.78
TBD
Strike accuracy
43%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.57
TBD
Strike defense
40%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexey ShurkevichFloyd Sword
1600165020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
1 (5%)
Submission
7 (58%)
6 (32%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexey Shurkevich51%
Floyd Sword 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexey Shurkevich a 51% favorite over Floyd Sword in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Floyd Sword's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1675), separated by just 1 points.

Alexey Shurkevich enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Floyd Sword enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Alexey Shurkevich finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Floyd Sword 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.