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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexey Shurkevich vs Ismail Naurdiev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ismail Naurdiev
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Ismail Naurdiev

“The Austrian Wonderboy”

26-8-0WelterweightUFC

1683Good

Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record26-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
73"Reach74"
172 lbsWeight170 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight Team· 1678 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamTop Team Salzburg

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexey ShurkevichNow 1684
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
Ismail NaurdievNow 1683
If they win+12→ 1695
If they lose-12→ 1671

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.66
Not available
Strike accuracy
53%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.75
Not available
Strike defense
65%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.48
Not available
Takedown accuracy
0%
Not available
Takedown defense
73%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Alexey ShurkevichIsmail Naurdiev
160016501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
13 (50%)
1 (5%)
Submission
6 (23%)
6 (32%)
Decision
7 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Ismail Naurdiev58%
Alexey Shurkevich 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ismail Naurdiev a 58% favorite over Alexey Shurkevich in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexey Shurkevich's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1683), separated by just 1 points.

Alexey Shurkevich enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Ismail Naurdiev enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexey Shurkevich finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Ismail Naurdiev 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.