Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexey Shurkevich vs Rashad Evans

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-6-0Record20-8-1
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height5'11"
73"Reach75"
172 lbsWeight205 lbs
Storm Shlemenko Fight TeamTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexey ShurkevichNow 1673
If they win+12→ 1685
If they lose-12→ 1661
Rashad EvansNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.14
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.42
TBD
Strike defense
63%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.98
TBD
Takedown accuracy
45%
TBD
Takedown defense
74%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexey ShurkevichRashad Evans
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (63%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (5%)
6 (32%)
Decision
11 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexey Shurkevich70%
Rashad Evans 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexey Shurkevich a 70% favorite over Rashad Evans in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rashad Evans's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1674), separated by just 1 points.

Alexey Shurkevich enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Alexey Shurkevich finishes 68% of wins inside the distance, Rashad Evans 45%.

Rashad Evans carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.