Alexis Davis vs Liz Carmouche
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-11-0Record26-8-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamThe Arena
What's at stake
Liz Carmouche is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Alexis Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1664
If they lose-9→ 1640
If they win+9→ 1753
If they lose-15→ 1729
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1584 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexis DavisLiz Carmouche
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Liz Carmouche92%
Alexis Davis 8%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Liz Carmouche a 92% favorite over Alexis Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Liz Carmouche holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1744 to 1649, a 95-point edge.
Liz Carmouche enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Alexis Davis finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Liz Carmouche 69%.
Alexis Davis and Liz Carmouche share 1 common opponent: Viviane Araujo.
Alexis Davis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.