Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Davis vs Ronda Rousey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alexis Davis
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Alexis Davis

“Ally-Gator”

21-11-0BantamweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

21-11-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'6"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamTeam Hayastan

What's at stake

Ronda Rousey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Alexis Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexis DavisNow 1649
If they win+15→ 1664
If they lose-9→ 1640
Ronda RouseyNow 1751
If they win+11→ 1762
If they lose-21→ 1730

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.63
Sig. strikes / min
4.17
49%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
55%
Strike defense
44%
0.95
Takedown avg.
6.26
45%
Takedown accuracy
68%
35%
Takedown defense
50%
0.65
Submission avg.
4.82

Trajectory

Alexis DavisRonda Rousey
1650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
8 (38%)
Submission
10 (77%)
11 (52%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronda Rousey72%
Alexis Davis 28%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronda Rousey a 72% favorite over Alexis Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Ronda Rousey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1649, a 102-point edge.

Alexis Davis finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Ronda Rousey 100%.

Alexis Davis and Ronda Rousey share 3 common opponents: Liz Carmouche, Sara McMann and Sarah Kaufman.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

LossSUB · 2016
Sara McMann
WinKO/TKO · 2014
WinDEC · 2017
Liz Carmouche
WinSubmission · 2013
WinSubmission (Armbar) · 2015
Sarah Kaufman
WinSubmission (Armbar) · 2012