Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Davis vs Rosi Sexton

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Alexis Davis
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Alexis Davis

“Ally-Gator”

21-11-0BantamweightUFC

1649Solid
Rosi Sexton

Rosi Sexton

“The Surgeon”

13-5-0FlyweightCWFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

21-11-0Record13-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'3"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamNext Generation

What's at stake

Alexis Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Rosi Sexton carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexis DavisNow 1649
If they win+10→ 1659
If they lose-14→ 1635
Rosi SextonNow 1589
If they win+19→ 1608
If they lose-13→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1554 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.63
Sig. strikes / min
3.31
49%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.45
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.42
55%
Strike defense
41%
0.95
Takedown avg.
0.75
45%
Takedown accuracy
10%
35%
Takedown defense
80%
0.65
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexis DavisRosi Sexton
160016502013201420152016201720182019202020212022

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
8 (38%)
Submission
7 (54%)
11 (52%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Davis75%
Rosi Sexton 25%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Davis a 75% favorite over Rosi Sexton in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Alexis Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1589, a 60-point edge.

Rosi Sexton enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexis Davis finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Rosi Sexton 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.