Alexis Davis vs Sara McMann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-11-0Record14-7-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'5"
68"Reach66"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Combat Sports AcademyTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated
What's at stake
Alexis Davis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sara McMann carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1660
If they lose-13→ 1636
If they win+18→ 1632
If they lose-14→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1625 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1609 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexis DavisSara McMann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alexis Davis68%
Sara McMann 32%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Davis a 68% favorite over Sara McMann in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Alexis Davis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1649 to 1614, a 35-point edge.
Alexis Davis finishes 48% of wins inside the distance, Sara McMann 43%.
Alexis Davis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.