Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Dufresne vs Sarah Moras

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Sarah Moras
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Sarah Moras

“Cheesecake”

6-7-0BantamweightUFC

1506Average

Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record6-7-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
150 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team QuestTeamToshido Mixed Martial Arts

What's at stake

Alexis Dufresne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +20 while a loss costs more — Sarah Moras carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Alexis DufresneNow 1567
If they win+20→ 1587
If they lose-28→ 1539
Sarah MorasNow 1506
If they win+19→ 1525
If they lose-13→ 1493

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
28%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
61%
Strike defense
50%
1.50
Takedown avg.
0.67
50%
Takedown accuracy
22%
50%
Takedown defense
33%
0
Submission avg.
0.80

Trajectory

Alexis DufresneSarah Moras
1500155016002015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
3 (50%)
Submission
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Dufresne70%
Sarah Moras 30%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Dufresne a 70% favorite over Sarah Moras in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Alexis Dufresne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1567 to 1506, a 61-point edge.

Sarah Moras enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexis Dufresne finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sarah Moras 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.