Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Dufresne vs Stephanie Egger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record8-5-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach68"
150 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team QuestTeamBuddy Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexis DufresneNow 1567
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543
Stephanie EggerNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.20
28%
Strike accuracy
47%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.48
61%
Strike defense
52%
1.50
Takedown avg.
2.48
50%
Takedown accuracy
43%
50%
Takedown defense
50%
0
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Alexis DufresneStephanie Egger
15501600201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
3 (50%)
Submission
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexis Dufresne and Stephanie Egger within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1568), separated by just 1 points.

Stephanie Egger enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexis Dufresne finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Stephanie Egger 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.