Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Dufresne vs Tamires Vidal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-3-0Record7-4-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
TBDReach68"
150 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team QuestTeamBenito Macapa Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexis DufresneNow 1567
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543
Tamires VidalNow 1562
If they win+16→ 1578
If they lose-16→ 1546

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
28%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.46
61%
Strike defense
49%
1.50
Takedown avg.
0
50%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
36%
0
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Alexis DufresneTamires Vidal
1550160016502015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
1 (17%)
3 (50%)
Submission
2 (33%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexis Dufresne and Tamires Vidal within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1562), separated by just 5 points.

Tamires Vidal enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexis Dufresne finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Tamires Vidal 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.