Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Miranda vs César Almeida

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'1"
76.4"Reach74"
179 lbsWeight185 lbs
Entram Gym· 1683 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamLotus MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexis MirandaNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
César AlmeidaNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1490 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1613 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.46
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.03
TBD
Strike defense
46%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
52%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Alexis MirandaCésar Almeida
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
5 (71%)
1 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (44%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Miranda60%
César Almeida 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Miranda a 60% favorite over César Almeida in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans César Almeida's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1627), separated by just 1 points.

Alexis Miranda enters on a 2-fight win streak.

César Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexis Miranda finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, César Almeida 71%.

Alexis Miranda carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.