Alexis Miranda vs Gustavo Rocha
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76.4"Reach-
179 lbsWeight186 lbs
Entram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamAlcateia MMA· 1554 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
If they win+24→ 1628
If they lose-24→ 1580
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexis MirandaGustavo Rocha
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gustavo Rocha63%
Alexis Miranda 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Gustavo Rocha a 63% favorite over Alexis Miranda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.
Alexis Miranda finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Gustavo Rocha 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.