Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Miranda vs Josh Samman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record12-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'3"
76.4"Reach79,0"
179 lbsWeight186 lbs
Entram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexis MirandaNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Josh SammanNow 1606
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.08
TBD
Strike accuracy
53%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.47
TBD
Strike defense
35%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.09
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
33%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.36

Trajectory

Alexis MirandaJosh Samman
16001650201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
1 (11%)
Submission
3 (25%)
4 (44%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Miranda83%
Josh Samman 17%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Miranda a 83% favorite over Josh Samman in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Josh Samman's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1606), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Samman enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Alexis Miranda finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Josh Samman 92%.

Josh Samman carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.