Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Miranda vs Keith Rockel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record12-4-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'0"
76.4"ReachTBD
179 lbsWeight185 lbs
Entram Gym· 1680 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamTeam Elite

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexis MirandaNow 1605
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Keith RockelNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.13
TBD
Strike accuracy
73%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
0.21
TBD
Strike defense
67%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.63
TBD
Takedown accuracy
75%
TBD
Takedown defense
100%
TBD
Submission avg.
4.63

Trajectory

Alexis MirandaKeith Rockel
160020042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (33%)
1 (11%)
Submission
6 (50%)
4 (44%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Miranda63%
Keith Rockel 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Miranda a 63% favorite over Keith Rockel in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1601), separated by just 4 points.

Keith Rockel enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Alexis Miranda finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Keith Rockel 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.