Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Miranda vs Phil Hawes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Phil Hawes
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Phil Hawes

“No Hype”

12-6-0MiddleweightUFC

1623Solid

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
76.4"Reach77"
179 lbsWeight185 lbs
Entram Gym· 1682 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexis MirandaNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Phil HawesNow 1623
If they win+16→ 1639
If they lose-16→ 1607

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
5.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
59%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.72
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.11
TBD
Takedown accuracy
35%
TBD
Takedown defense
91%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.23

Trajectory

Alexis MirandaPhil Hawes
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
8 (67%)
1 (11%)
Submission
2 (17%)
4 (44%)
Decision
2 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Miranda70%
Phil Hawes 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Miranda a 70% favorite over Phil Hawes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1623), separated by just 2 points.

Alexis Miranda enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Phil Hawes enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Alexis Miranda finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Phil Hawes 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.