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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Miranda vs Raul Castillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record7-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'10"
76.4"ReachUnknown
179 lbsWeight185 lbs
Entram Gym· 1678 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamRaul Castillo Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexis MirandaNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587
Raul CastilloNow 1601
If they win+24→ 1625
If they lose-24→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
Not available
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Alexis MirandaRaul Castillo
160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
1 (11%)
Submission
2 (29%)
4 (44%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Alexis Miranda and Raul Castillo within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1601), separated by just 2 points.

Alexis Miranda finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Raul Castillo 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.