Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Miranda vs Warlley Alves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record14-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height5'11"
76.4"Reach72,0"
179 lbsWeight186 lbs
Entram Gym· 1682 avg Elo · 11 ratedTeamRizzo RVT

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexis MirandaNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Warlley AlvesNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1487 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.04
TBD
Strike accuracy
48%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.95
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.22
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
63%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.85

Trajectory

Alexis MirandaWarlley Alves
155016001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
4 (29%)
1 (11%)
Submission
6 (43%)
4 (44%)
Decision
4 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Miranda70%
Warlley Alves 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Miranda a 70% favorite over Warlley Alves in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Warlley Alves's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1626), separated by just 1 points.

Alexis Miranda enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Warlley Alves enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Alexis Miranda finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Warlley Alves 71%.

Alexis Miranda carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.