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Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexis Nicolas vs Jared Rollins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-0-0Record8-4-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
72"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
Mahmoudi GymTeamTeam Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexis NicolasNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531
Jared RollinsNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.33
Not available
Strike accuracy
57%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.41
Not available
Strike defense
40%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.50
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.25

Trajectory

Alexis NicolasJared Rollins
15501600200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (100%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (43%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexis Nicolas66%
Jared Rollins 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexis Nicolas a 66% favorite over Jared Rollins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1555), separated by just 0 points.

Alexis Nicolas enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Jared Rollins 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.