Alexis Tsarmantidis vs Hatsu Hioki
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record29-12-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Diversity teamTeamAlive
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1644
If they lose-24→ 1596
If they win+12→ 1632
If they lose-12→ 1608
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1524 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alexis TsarmantidisHatsu Hioki
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Hatsu Hioki52%
Alexis Tsarmantidis 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Hatsu Hioki a 52% favorite over Alexis Tsarmantidis in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alexis Tsarmantidis's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1620 vs 1620), separated by just 0 points.
Alexis Tsarmantidis enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Hatsu Hioki enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Alexis Tsarmantidis finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Hatsu Hioki 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.