Alexsandro Cangaty vs Aristides Vinícius
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-5-2Record12-3-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'8"
-Reach68"
145 lbsWeight146 lbs
Sparta Nenem TeamTeamCT Carrasco Lima
What's at stake
Aristides Vinícius is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Alexsandro Cangaty carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1590
If they lose-12→ 1558
If they win+12→ 1680
If they lose-20→ 1648
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alexsandro CangatyAristides Vinícius
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Aristides Vinícius92%
Alexsandro Cangaty 8%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Aristides Vinícius a 92% favorite over Alexsandro Cangaty in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Aristides Vinícius holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1668 to 1570, a 98-point edge.
Aristides Vinícius enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alexsandro Cangaty finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Aristides Vinícius 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.