Combat Edge Intelligence

Alexsandro Cangaty vs Paul Redmond

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-5-2Record15-9-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'10"
-ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Sparta Nenem TeamTeamTeam Ryano MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Alexsandro CangatyNow 1570
If they win+16→ 1586
If they lose-16→ 1554
Paul RedmondNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0.72
TBD
Strike accuracy
34%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
TBD
Strike defense
42%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
50%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Alexsandro CangatyPaul Redmond
15501600201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
5 (33%)
2 (17%)
Submission
5 (33%)
6 (50%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Alexsandro Cangaty66%
Paul Redmond 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Alexsandro Cangaty a 66% favorite over Paul Redmond in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1570 vs 1569), separated by just 1 points.

Alexsandro Cangaty finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Paul Redmond 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.