Alfie Davis vs Dakota Bush
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-1Record17-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
71"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamThe Smith Pit
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
If they win+16→ 1723
If they lose-16→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alfie DavisDakota Bush
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dakota Bush73%
Alfie Davis 27%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Dakota Bush a 73% favorite over Alfie Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1707), separated by just 9 points.
Alfie Davis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dakota Bush enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Alfie Davis finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Dakota Bush 53%.
Dakota Bush carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.