Alfie Davis vs Yan Cabral
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
20-7-1Record15-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'0"
71"Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamAranha Barcelona BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1710
If they lose-12→ 1686
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1582 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alfie DavisYan Cabral
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Alfie Davis70%
Yan Cabral 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Alfie Davis a 70% favorite over Yan Cabral in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1698), separated by just 0 points.
Alfie Davis enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Yan Cabral enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Alfie Davis finishes 45% of wins inside the distance, Yan Cabral 93%.
Yan Cabral carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.