Alfonso Alcarez vs Gabriel Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-3-1Record10-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'3"Height5'6"
TBDReach71,0"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nickwan Kick GymTeamTeam Nogueira· 1582 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1466
If they lose-23→ 1418
If they win+23→ 1474
If they lose-25→ 1426
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1610 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alfonso AlcarezGabriel Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriel Silva60%
Alfonso Alcarez 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriel Silva a 60% favorite over Alfonso Alcarez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1441 vs 1451), separated by just 10 points.
Alfonso Alcarez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gabriel Silva 40%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.