Alfonso Alcarez vs Gabriella Carbone
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-3-1Record0-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'8"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nickwan Kick GymTeamMMA Barcelona Team
What's at stake
Alfonso Alcarez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Gabriella Carbone carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1464
If they lose-25→ 1416
If they win+25→ 1449
If they lose-23→ 1401
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alfonso AlcarezGabriella Carbone
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gabriella Carbone58%
Alfonso Alcarez 42%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Gabriella Carbone a 58% favorite over Alfonso Alcarez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alfonso Alcarez's way (48%).
Alfonso Alcarez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1441 to 1424, a 17-point edge.
Alfonso Alcarez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Gabriella Carbone enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.