Alfonso Alcarez vs Giovanni Fernandez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-3-1Record3-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight133 lbs
Nickwan Kick GymTeamPythagore Academy Cognac
What's at stake
Alfonso Alcarez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Giovanni Fernandez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1464
If they lose-25→ 1416
If they win+25→ 1451
If they lose-23→ 1403
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Alfonso AlcarezGiovanni Fernandez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Giovanni Fernandez70%
Alfonso Alcarez 30%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Giovanni Fernandez a 70% favorite over Alfonso Alcarez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alfonso Alcarez's way (48%).
Alfonso Alcarez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1441 to 1426, a 15-point edge.
Alfonso Alcarez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Giovanni Fernandez enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Giovanni Fernandez 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.