Alfonso Alcarez vs Ryusei Ashizawa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-3-1Record2-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
Nickwan Kick GymTeamFreelance· 1556 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1465
If they lose-24→ 1417
If they win+24→ 1461
If they lose-24→ 1413
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1511 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Alfonso AlcarezRyusei Ashizawa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryusei Ashizawa69%
Alfonso Alcarez 31%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryusei Ashizawa a 69% favorite over Alfonso Alcarez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Alfonso Alcarez's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1441 vs 1437), separated by just 4 points.
Alfonso Alcarez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryusei Ashizawa enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.