Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Abdulkhalikov vs Chris Lytle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Chris Lytle
us

Chris Lytle

“Lights Out”

31-18-5WelterweightB2GS

1706Good

Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record31-18-5
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Golden TeamTeamIntegrated Fighting Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali AbdulkhalikovNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
Chris LytleNow 1706
If they win+12→ 1718
If they lose-12→ 1694

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
TBD
Strike accuracy
45%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.03
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.70
TBD
Takedown accuracy
55%
TBD
Takedown defense
55%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.36

Trajectory

Ali AbdulkhalikovChris Lytle
16501700200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
6 (19%)
0 (0%)
Submission
19 (61%)
11 (65%)
Decision
6 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Ali Abdulkhalikov70%
Chris Lytle 30%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ali Abdulkhalikov a 70% favorite over Chris Lytle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1706), separated by just 4 points.

Ali Abdulkhalikov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ali Abdulkhalikov finishes 35% of wins inside the distance, Chris Lytle 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.