Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Abdulkhalikov vs Donald Cerrone

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record36-17-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-Reach73"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali AbdulkhalikovNow 1710
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
Donald CerroneNow 1710
If they win+12→ 1722
If they lose-12→ 1698

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.41
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.48
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.16
TBD
Takedown accuracy
33%
TBD
Takedown defense
74%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.16

Trajectory

Ali AbdulkhalikovDonald Cerrone
170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
10 (28%)
0 (0%)
Submission
17 (47%)
11 (65%)
Decision
9 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Ali Abdulkhalikov72%
Donald Cerrone 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ali Abdulkhalikov a 72% favorite over Donald Cerrone in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1710), separated by just 0 points.

Ali Abdulkhalikov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Donald Cerrone enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Ali Abdulkhalikov finishes 35% of wins inside the distance, Donald Cerrone 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.