Ali Abdulkhalikov vs Gunnar Nelson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record19-6-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'11"
-Reach72"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1716 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ali AbdulkhalikovGunnar Nelson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ali Abdulkhalikov66%
Gunnar Nelson 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ali Abdulkhalikov a 66% favorite over Gunnar Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1710), separated by just 0 points.
Ali Abdulkhalikov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ali Abdulkhalikov finishes 35% of wins inside the distance, Gunnar Nelson 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.