Ali Abdulkhalikov vs Kevin Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-4-0Record20-9-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach77"
157 lbsWeight170 lbs
Golden TeamTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1726
If they lose-16→ 1694
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1607 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ali AbdulkhalikovKevin Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ali Abdulkhalikov63%
Kevin Lee 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ali Abdulkhalikov a 63% favorite over Kevin Lee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Lee's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1710 vs 1711), separated by just 1 points.
Ali Abdulkhalikov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ali Abdulkhalikov finishes 35% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Lee 60%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.