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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Abdulkhalikov vs Paul Daley

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paul Daley
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Paul Daley

“Semtex”

43-18-2WelterweightBFC

1725Good

Tale of the tape

17-4-0Record43-18-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
157 lbsWeight171 lbs
Golden Team· 1727 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSpirit Dojo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali AbdulkhalikovNow 1724
If they win+16→ 1740
If they lose-16→ 1708
Paul DaleyNow 1725
If they win+12→ 1737
If they lose-12→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1651 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1653 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.14
Not available
Strike accuracy
47%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.37
Not available
Strike defense
60%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.91
Not available
Takedown accuracy
40%
Not available
Takedown defense
65%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Ali AbdulkhalikovPaul Daley
170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (35%)
KO/TKO
35 (81%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
11 (65%)
Decision
8 (19%)

Combat Edge model read

Ali Abdulkhalikov65%
Paul Daley 35%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ali Abdulkhalikov a 65% favorite over Paul Daley in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Daley's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1724 vs 1725), separated by just 1 points.

Ali Abdulkhalikov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Ali Abdulkhalikov finishes 35% of wins inside the distance, Paul Daley 81%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.