Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali AlQaisi vs Brad Pickett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ali AlQaisi
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Ali AlQaisi

“The Royal Fighter”

15-8-0BantamweightUAEW

1626Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record25-14-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'6"
38,0"Reach68,0"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Gladiator MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali AlQaisiNow 1626
If they win+16→ 1642
If they lose-16→ 1610
Brad PickettNow 1622
If they win+12→ 1634
If they lose-12→ 1610

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1551 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.43
Sig. strikes / min
3.02
42%
Strike accuracy
32%
1.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.63
56%
Strike defense
56%
3.50
Takedown avg.
2.47
29%
Takedown accuracy
45%
60%
Takedown defense
58%
1
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Ali AlQaisiBrad Pickett
1600165020152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
7 (28%)
6 (40%)
Submission
10 (40%)
7 (47%)
Decision
8 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

Ali AlQaisi63%
Brad Pickett 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ali AlQaisi a 63% favorite over Brad Pickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1626 vs 1622), separated by just 4 points.

Brad Pickett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Ali AlQaisi finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Brad Pickett 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.