Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali AlQaisi vs Dean Garnett

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ali AlQaisi
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Ali AlQaisi

“The Royal Fighter”

15-8-0BantamweightUAEW

1625Solid

Tale of the tape

15-8-0Record15-4-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
38,0"Reach64"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Gladiator MMATeamTeam McHale

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali AlQaisiNow 1625
If they win+16→ 1641
If they lose-16→ 1609
Dean GarnettNow 1627
If they win+16→ 1643
If they lose-16→ 1611

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1557 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.43
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
42%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.97
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
3.50
Takedown avg.
TBD
29%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
60%
Takedown defense
TBD
1
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ali AlQaisiDean Garnett
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
6 (40%)
Submission
6 (40%)
7 (47%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dean Garnett66%
Ali AlQaisi 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dean Garnett a 66% favorite over Ali AlQaisi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1625 vs 1627), separated by just 2 points.

Ali AlQaisi finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Dean Garnett 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.