Ali AlQaisi vs Irwin Rivera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-8-0Record12-7-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
38,0"Reach36,0"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Gladiator MMATeamSanford MMA
What's at stake
Ali AlQaisi is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Irwin Rivera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1639
If they lose-18→ 1607
If they win+18→ 1604
If they lose-14→ 1572
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ali AlQaisiIrwin Rivera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ali AlQaisi and Irwin Rivera within a point of even.
Ali AlQaisi holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1625 to 1586, a 39-point edge.
Ali AlQaisi finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Irwin Rivera 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.