Ali Bagautinov vs Brandon Royval
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record18-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'7"
65,0"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight Club KrepostTeamFactory X
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1726
If they lose-12→ 1702
If they win+12→ 1723
If they lose-12→ 1699
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ali BagautinovBrandon Royval
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Brandon Royval66%
Ali Bagautinov 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Brandon Royval a 66% favorite over Ali Bagautinov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ali Bagautinov's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1714 vs 1711), separated by just 3 points.
Ali Bagautinov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ali Bagautinov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Brandon Royval 78%.
Brandon Royval carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.