Ali Bagautinov vs Geane Herrera
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record10-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
65,0"Reach66,0"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fight Club KrepostTeamBanks MMA
What's at stake
Ali Bagautinov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Geane Herrera carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1725
If they lose-15→ 1701
If they win+20→ 1643
If they lose-12→ 1611
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ali BagautinovGeane Herrera
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ali Bagautinov58%
Geane Herrera 42%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Ali Bagautinov a 58% favorite over Geane Herrera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Ali Bagautinov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1716 to 1623, a 93-point edge.
Ali Bagautinov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ali Bagautinov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Geane Herrera 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.