Ali Bagautinov vs John Lineker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record37-11-0
FlyweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'4"Height5'3"
65,0"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fight Club KrepostTeamOCS Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
John Lineker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Ali Bagautinov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1727
If they lose-11→ 1703
If they win+14→ 1764
If they lose-18→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1582 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ali BagautinovJohn Lineker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
John Lineker61%
Ali Bagautinov 39%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes John Lineker a 61% favorite over Ali Bagautinov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
John Lineker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1750 to 1714, a 36-point edge.
Ali Bagautinov enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Ali Bagautinov finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, John Lineker 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.