Ali Bagov vs Lyle Beerbohm
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-13-0Record24-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'10"
69.7"ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fightspirit TeamTeamBJJ Spokane
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1755
If they lose-12→ 1731
If they win+12→ 1753
If they lose-12→ 1729
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ali BagovLyle Beerbohm
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ali Bagov73%
Lyle Beerbohm 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ali Bagov a 73% favorite over Lyle Beerbohm in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1743 vs 1741), separated by just 2 points.
Lyle Beerbohm enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Ali Bagov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Lyle Beerbohm 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.