Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Bagov vs Michael Bisping

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ali Bagov
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Ali Bagov

“Hulk”

35-13-0MiddleweightACA

1737Good

Tale of the tape

35-13-0Record30-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'2"
69.7"Reach75″
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fightspirit TeamTeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali BagovNow 1737
If they win+12→ 1749
If they lose-12→ 1725
Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+12→ 1753
If they lose-12→ 1729

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1747 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
Not available
Strike accuracy
38%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
Not available
Strike defense
65%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.05
Not available
Takedown accuracy
43%
Not available
Takedown defense
63%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Ali BagovMichael Bisping
1700175020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (11%)
KO/TKO
18 (60%)
24 (69%)
Submission
2 (7%)
7 (20%)
Decision
10 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Ali Bagov55%
Michael Bisping 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Ali Bagov a 55% favorite over Michael Bisping in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael Bisping's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1737 vs 1741), separated by just 4 points.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ali Bagov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.

Michael Bisping carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.