Ali Bagov vs Paulo Filho
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
35-13-0Record24-6-3
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height5'8"
69.7"ReachTBD
172 lbsWeight185 lbs
Fightspirit TeamTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1657 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1741
If they lose-12→ 1717
If they win+12→ 1743
If they lose-12→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1595 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Ali BagovPaulo Filho
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ali Bagov62%
Paulo Filho 38%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ali Bagov a 62% favorite over Paulo Filho in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paulo Filho's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1729 vs 1731), separated by just 2 points.
Ali Bagov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Paulo Filho 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.