AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Gündüz vs Brian Kelleher

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ali Gündüz
de

Ali Gündüz

“The Gorilla”

7-1-0BantamweightOKMMA

1638Solid

Tale of the tape

7-1-0Record24-16-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'6"
-Reach 66"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1581 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamMaxum BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali GündüzNow 1638
If they win+24→ 1662
If they lose-24→ 1614
Brian KelleherNow 1636
If they win+12→ 1648
If they lose-12→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1532 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
3.31
Not available
Strike accuracy
41%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.59
Not available
Strike defense
55%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.68
Not available
Takedown accuracy
42%
Not available
Takedown defense
60%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.67

Trajectory

Ali GündüzBrian Kelleher
16001650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
8 (33%)
2 (29%)
Submission
10 (42%)
2 (29%)
Decision
6 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Ali Gündüz and Brian Kelleher within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1638 vs 1636), separated by just 2 points.

Brian Kelleher enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Ali Gündüz finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Brian Kelleher 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.