Ali Gazamatov vs Kyle Clark
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Kyle Clark58%
Ali Gazamatov 42%Elo baseline: 53%
The Combat Edge model makes Kyle Clark a 58% favorite over Ali Gazamatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).
Kyle Clark holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1541 to 1517, a 24-point edge.
Ali Gazamatov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Kyle Clark 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record3-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'3"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeam
What's at stake
Kyle Clark is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Ali Gazamatov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+26→ 1543
If they lose-22→ 1495
If they win+22→ 1563
If they lose-26→ 1515
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ali GazamatovKyle Clark