Ali Gazamatov vs Zdenek Polivka
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Zdenek Polivka60%
Ali Gazamatov 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Zdenek Polivka a 60% favorite over Ali Gazamatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1517 vs 1524), separated by just 7 points.
Zdenek Polivka enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ali Gazamatov finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Zdenek Polivka 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
5-4-0Record10-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'1"
-Reach-
185 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 12 ratedTeamGorila MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1541
If they lose-24→ 1493
If they win+16→ 1540
If they lose-16→ 1508
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ali GazamatovZdenek Polivka