Combat Edge Intelligence

Ali Gündüz vs Liam Gittins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ali Gündüz
de

Ali Gündüz

“The Gorilla”

6-1-0BantamweightOKMMA

1610Solid
Liam Gittins
gb-eng

Liam Gittins

“Nightmare”

13-6-0BantamweightPFL

1610Solid

Tale of the tape

6-1-0Record13-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fight Club Gelsenkirchen· 1574 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ali GündüzNow 1610
If they win+24→ 1634
If they lose-24→ 1586
Liam GittinsNow 1610
If they win+16→ 1626
If they lose-16→ 1594

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1500 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Ali GündüzLiam Gittins
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
2 (33%)
Submission
3 (23%)
1 (17%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

Liam Gittins60%
Ali Gündüz 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Liam Gittins a 60% favorite over Ali Gündüz in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ali Gündüz's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1610 vs 1610), separated by just 0 points.

Liam Gittins enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ali Gündüz finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Liam Gittins 77%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.